Comments on: Churchill Club’s Top 10 Tech Trends, 2011 edition

By: Time Magazine's Best of 2014 - Manage By Walking Around

Time Magazine's Best of 2014 - Manage By Walking Around — Sun, 28 Dec 2014 21:37:23 +0000

[…] for the year that is about to start. Given I’m not a big fan of New Year’s predictions or resolutions, I thought I would create a “Best of […]

By: Trans-it Moments

Trans-it Moments — Mon, 04 Jul 2011 18:50:48 +0000

[…] ちなみに今年はこちら。 […]

By: Robert E

Robert E — Thu, 09 Jun 2011 21:43:25 +0000

Upcoming infrastructure issues (what happens when everybody accesses Netflix online at the same time?) and the upcoming issues of dependable, inexpensive energy may affect how some trends pan out.

Social, really – Technology has been experiencing the same issues that bars, clubs, and restaurants have always dealt. MySpace is a little like that club that used to be hot, but no talks about it anymore because they are all standing behind the velvet rope at the new hot club, Facebook. A Fortune magazine cover story on the problems at Twitter also point to the extreme ups and downs that accompany even the hottest of the existing trends.

The Doctor is In could be a viable solution to providing affordable, accessable healthcare for our country, though it will undoubtable start off being specialized premium services.

These trends point to how people’s expectations of technology has grown from appreciating a service to expecting a servant. That is what I see as the next trend – technology moving from service to servant.

By: Rob

Rob — Wed, 01 Jun 2011 20:59:13 +0000

Thanks for the great recap for those of us who couldn’t attend. What I found interesting about the trends was how they seem to fall under three broad themes:

(1) System shifts: The “doctor is in” and “reverse innovation” fall here … for the former, you need sensors, new payment plans, change in mindset, etc. These are tightly coupled, complex systems that have a lot of prerequisites and dependencies

(2) Cultural shifts: “Social, really” falls here …. These are trends that are happening because society demands them

(3) One off pushes: “Augmented reality” falls here. These are ideas that a single company could productize and market

The above is simplistic and some trends might cross multiple categories. In general, I think trends in the 3rd bucket are the most likely in the near term as a single entrepreneur can jump start them, the second bucket is foregone conclusion with timing the only question and the third bucket is dependent on network and system with the most difficult path.

If I look at this not from the “most likely”, but from the “most important” perspective, I tend to think the trends that impact systems and networks are going to be the most important as they would change ingrained ways we live which may not be sustainable. I’ll go with the “Doctor is In” and “Reverse Innovation” as the “most important”. Most likely, I’ll go with the safer “Social, really”.